For more of our betting analysis, check out:

• Marlins vs. Athletics

MLB Pick

• Padres ML (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)

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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Friday, May 03, 2024 – 09:40 PM ET at Chase Field

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Despite being on the road, the Padres will likely be the projected winners. This is because San Diego’s ace pitcher, Dylan Cease, is on the mound.

Dylan Cease, The Underdog

The Padres will pitch Dylan Cease, who has held teams to a .107 ISO and wOBA of .215 to begin the year. Cease has also added 28.8% of strikeouts and has given up only 21.2% of line drives. These are outstanding stats. While Arizona’s lineup is more fierce than San Diego’s, Cease should be able to limit damage well.

Slade Cecconi’s Regression

Slade Cecconi has struck out 25.6% of batters and has only walked 2.3%. However, he’s also allowed 33.3% of fly balls and has induced just 40% of grounders to begin the season. It’s going to come back to bite him. Last year, he struck out only 17.9% of batters and allowed a .209 ISO and a wOBA of .333. If the fly balls stay up, there’s a chance his stats from this year turn into his stats from last year.

The Pick

Dylan Cease was involved in a blockbuster trade from the White Sox to the Padres in the off-season. Yet, the Padres are slight underdogs in this game. I’m not buying it. Back the Padres at -105. MLB Pick: Padres ML (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook *The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool. *21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler